FOMO INTELLIGENCE TERMINAL
read-only · engine unaffected
旺柴 · bscWatch
Address
0x86df20937c45d2aacac6f6eed5d0a891b3887777
Chain ID
56
First seen
9/5/2026, 6:24:38 AM
Last seen
9/5/2026, 12:11:20 PM
Conviction
12.5
Confidence
85
Freshness
3m ago
Why This Signal Exists
ConvergenceHIGH
IndependenceMEDIUM
AccumulationMIXED
Lifecycle: DECAYING

8 trader(s) interacted with this token in the last 360 minutes, 3 of whom meet the HIGH/MEDIUM quality bar (convergence shape: decaying). 3 were new entrants and 5 were already-observed holders acting again. Observed activity currently favors mixed. Independence of this convergence is assessed as MEDIUM (entries spread over 211 minutes; timing alone does not suggest coordination, but no follow-graph or wallet-clustering data exists to confirm true independence). The signal is recent. Overall: WATCH with HIGH confidence - confidence reflects sample size and data-quality tier, not the strength of the evidence itself.

Smart Money
Qualifying wallets
3 of 8 relevant
Quality-weighted
3.0
New entrants
3
Existing holders active
5

entries spread over 211 minutes; timing alone does not suggest coordination, but no follow-graph or wallet-clustering data exists to confirm true independence

Positive Evidence
  • 3 of 8 relevant trader(s) meet the HIGH/MEDIUM quality bar (quality-weighted count: 3.0)
  • 3 new trader(s) entered who were not previously an observed holder
  • 3 HIGH/MEDIUM-quality trader(s) were observed entering before the midpoint of this activity window (14 total observed entries) - this describes observed participation order within our own data, not entry relative to any price move
  • 1 trader(s) new to our own dataset (first observed within the last 6h) showed activity of at least $1,000
  • 5 previously-observed holder(s) remained active this window; 1 of them were observed reducing exposure
  • current activity rate (~2.5 alerts/hour) is 26.3x this token's own 168h baseline rate (~0.10 alerts/hour)
Negative Evidence
  • 1 previously-observed HIGH/MEDIUM-quality holder(s) were observed selling/reducing exposure this window
Risk Factors
  • convergence shape is DECAYING - earlier activity was denser than recent activity within this window
  • observed activity density fell across this window relative to its start
Data Quality & Known Unknowns

Sample size 8 · capture mix: feed 6, directory 0, leaderboard 3, fully captured 0.

  • no historical token price/market-cap series exists (FomoAPI limitation) - entry-relative return cannot be computed
  • entry price is unavailable for the large majority of even fully-captured trades - early-entry timing is largely unverifiable
  • trader independence is inferred from timing only; no follow-graph or wallet-clustering data is available
  • "early entry" and "unusual activity" are measured only against our own local observation history, not against price or the token's full lifetime
Conviction History
TimeTierIndex
9/5/2026, 1:04:50 PMWatch12.5
9/5/2026, 12:59:03 PMWatch12.5
9/5/2026, 12:53:02 PMWatch12.5
9/5/2026, 12:47:33 PMWatch12.5
9/5/2026, 12:41:18 PMWatch12.5
9/5/2026, 12:35:25 PMWatch12.5
9/5/2026, 12:29:51 PMWatch12.5
9/5/2026, 12:24:21 PMWatch25.5
9/5/2026, 12:18:38 PMWatch25.5
9/5/2026, 12:12:49 PMWatch25.5
9/5/2026, 12:06:52 PMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 12:01:11 PMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 11:55:30 AMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 11:49:42 AMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 11:43:59 AMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 11:37:56 AMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 11:31:55 AMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 11:25:40 AMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 11:19:45 AMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 11:13:06 AMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 11:07:20 AMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 11:01:02 AMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 10:55:09 AMWatch18.0
9/5/2026, 10:48:45 AMInvestigate38.0
9/5/2026, 10:42:41 AMInvestigate38.0
9/5/2026, 10:36:08 AMInvestigate38.0
9/5/2026, 10:29:57 AMInvestigate38.0
9/5/2026, 10:24:04 AMInvestigate38.0
9/5/2026, 10:18:10 AMInvestigate38.0
9/5/2026, 10:12:15 AMInvestigate38.0
9/5/2026, 10:06:53 AMInvestigate53.0
9/5/2026, 10:01:22 AMInvestigate53.0
9/5/2026, 9:55:56 AMInvestigate53.0
9/5/2026, 9:50:35 AMInvestigate52.0
9/5/2026, 9:44:10 AMInvestigate52.0
9/5/2026, 9:38:07 AMInvestigate52.0
9/5/2026, 9:31:57 AMInvestigate52.0
9/5/2026, 9:25:42 AMInvestigate52.0
9/5/2026, 9:20:08 AMInvestigate52.0
9/5/2026, 9:14:21 AMInvestigate52.0
9/5/2026, 9:08:31 AMInvestigate52.0
9/5/2026, 9:02:19 AMInvestigate52.0
9/5/2026, 8:56:41 AMWatch32.5
9/5/2026, 8:50:45 AMWatch32.5
9/5/2026, 8:44:51 AMWatch32.5
9/5/2026, 8:39:00 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 8:33:35 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 8:27:36 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 8:21:50 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 8:16:27 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 8:10:49 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 8:05:14 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 7:59:10 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 7:53:42 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 7:47:12 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 7:41:41 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 7:36:14 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 7:30:46 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 7:25:16 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 7:19:53 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 7:13:23 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 7:07:51 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 7:01:36 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 6:55:49 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 6:49:43 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 6:44:17 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 6:38:40 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 6:33:11 AMWatch0.0
9/5/2026, 6:27:02 AMWatch0.0
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